Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -17.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -14.6 (-5.6) | 146.4 (-21.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -19.0 (-10.0) | 148.1 (-23.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | SMC 82 – 70 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 7-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#86) | -1.1 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#124) | -0.34 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#111) | -0.48 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#19) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 43.3% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 88.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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