Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -1800 NIA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -3.6 (+6.4) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.3 (+3.7) | 136.2 (+21.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#240) | 4.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#84) | -0.28 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#144) | -0.27 (#155) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 45.9% | 15.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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