Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -115 ORST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +10 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -15.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-43.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -9.9 (+0.1) | 149.9 (-39.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -11.6 (-1.6) | 151.3 (-41.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 14-5 | 3-13 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#151) | -1.6 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#123) | 0.34 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#122) | 0.44 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#19) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 26.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 43.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 56.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.