Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -26.0 Push |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | KU -2900 TAR +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | KU -21.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -16.8 (+9.2) | 140.6 (+9.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -20.0 (+6.0) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 19-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#15) | 0.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#25) | -0.34 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#22) | -0.46 (#198) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 11.6% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 1.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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