Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -18.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -14.5 (-11.5) | 142.3 (+8.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -12.8 (-9.8) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | NCSU 72 – 49 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#112) | -3.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#79) | 0.28 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#77) | 0.33 (#136) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| ORB% | 41.5% | 11.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 4.8% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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