Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -1200 COLG +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +23 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -13.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -17.3 (+5.7) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -17.2 (+5.8) | 140.7 (-19.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -14.0 (+9.0) | 140.7 (-19.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -11.8 (+11.2) | 137.7 (-16.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | NCSU 77 – 74 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#112) | -3.1 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#128) | -1.36 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#143) | -1.97 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#152) | 0.340 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 8.1% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 14.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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