I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Halton Arena · November 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -14.5 Away covered
O/U 131.0 Over
Money CLT -1000 / UPST +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +12 140 Won
Massey CLT -11.2 (+0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 137.9 (+2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -7.2 (+4.8) 140.7 (-0.7) 74% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -9.5 (+2.5) 138.4 (+1.6) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Game Analysis

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