Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -12.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.4 (+4.6) | 159.9 (+3.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -8.0 (+3.0) | 161.5 (+1.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#224) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#52) | 0.34 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#127) | 0.42 (#112) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 47.4% | 52.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 62.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 43.3% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 47.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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