Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | LAS -400 UALB +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -15.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -7.0 (-4.0) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -9.2 (-6.2) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#277) | -11.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#290) | -2.02 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#290) | -2.96 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#34) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 20.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 14.7% |
| FT Rate | 7.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 59.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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