Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | IOWA -1800 KC +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +32 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -20.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -17.5 (+14.5) | 152.4 (-6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -21.4 (+10.6) | 147.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#31) | -0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#67) | -0.15 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#56) | -0.18 (#153) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 12.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 83.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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