Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +20 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -13.9 (-33.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -9.0 (-29.0) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -7.1 (-27.1) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | VT 80 – 72 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 11-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#20) | 7.1 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#11) | 0.34 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#10) | 0.53 (#52) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 52.4% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 2.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 59.8% |
| TOV% | 26.3% | 11.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 36.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 27.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 4.9% |
Game Analysis
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