Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | VT -1100 NAVY +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | VT -14.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -11.0 (-3.0) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -11.7 (-3.7) | 138.9 (+13.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -11.2 (-3.2) | 139.4 (+12.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -14.5 (-6.5) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | VT 77 – 57 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#168) | -10.0 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | -2.60 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#207) | -3.35 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#216) | 0.342 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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