Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +33 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -11.2 (+21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -11.4 (+21.6) | 148.9 (+16.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -14.7 (+18.3) | 151.0 (+14.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#183) | 1.2 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#134) | -0.34 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#120) | -0.45 (#185) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 57.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 56.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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