Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +21 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -24.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -18.2 (+2.8) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -22.8 (-1.8) | 144.0 (+17.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | SJU 76 – 75 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#3) | 3.6 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#99) | -0.34 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#43) | -0.35 (#161) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 69.2% | 31.0% |
| 3PT% | 52.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 79.2% | 37.1% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 28.9% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 33.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 86.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 44.2% |
Game Analysis
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