Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | JXST -1600 AAMU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +23 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -14.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.5 (+16.5) | 140.5 (-23.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.0 (+17.0) | 136.9 (-19.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#64) | 3.0 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#193) | 1.06 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#158) | 1.50 (#28) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 26.5% | 10.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 2.8% |
Game Analysis
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