Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -135 AMER +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -15.5 (-27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -3.8 (-15.8) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -5.3 (-17.3) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | W&M 75 – 56 AMER |
| Nov 17, 2022 | AMER 71 – 64 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#187) | -3.2 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#238) | 0.34 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#210) | 0.37 (#126) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 28.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 10.3% |
Game Analysis
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