Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -2800 GRAM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -16.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -14.3 (+11.7) | 146.5 (+3.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -18.5 (+7.5) | 147.2 (+2.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | TTU 81 – 40 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 18-0 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#149) | -2.4 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#132) | -0.34 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#125) | -0.50 (#214) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 54.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 59.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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