Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -32.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +41 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -26.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -21.6 (+19.4) | 135.1 (-14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -24.9 (+16.1) | 134.4 (-13.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -26.5 (+14.5) | 134.7 (-13.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | TTU 88 – 62 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 9-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#12) | -5.7 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#115) | -0.83 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#114) | -1.24 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#128) | 0.500 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 12.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 35.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.0% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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