Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -1000 TXST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +25 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -19.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.4 (+13.6) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -15.4 (+9.6) | 137.1 (+5.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#1) | 10.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#69) | 2.02 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#42) | 2.95 (#5) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 58.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.1% | 63.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 47.2% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 7.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 30.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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