Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -396 STMN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +18 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -7.7 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SFBK -0.0 (-18.0) | 144.2 (+19.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -1.7 (-19.7) | 141.4 (+22.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | STMN 84 – 48 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 3-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#220) | 2.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#240) | -0.34 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#219) | -0.39 (#168) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.42 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 15.4% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 4.8% | 11.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 60.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 86.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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