I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Jersey Mike’s Arena · November 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -13.0 Push
O/U 128.5 Under
Money RUTG -900 / MRMK +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +13 83 Won
Massey RUTG -3.2 (+9.8)
Massey Totals 133.2 (-50.2)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 72%
Baseline ML RUTG -4.7 (+8.3) 135.9 (-52.9) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -2.4 (+10.6) 138.3 (-55.3) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2024 RUTG 7463 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG MRMK
Overall 18-14 14-16
Conference 12-8 10-8
Home 14-3 7-7
Away 4-9 8-9
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak L2 W2
Avg Pts For 68.5 58.9
Avg Pts Against 66.5 62.8
Massey -3.6 (#231) 6.9 (#25)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#92) 2.02 (#8)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#131) 2.82 (#13)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG MRMK
FG% 37.5% 43.2%
3PT% 7.7% 40.9%
REB / G 41.0 23.0
OREB / G 13.0 1.0
AST / TO 1.27 0.47
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 38.2% 53.4%
TOV% 13.4% 24.5%
ORB% 26.0% 3.6%
FT Rate 25.0% 31.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 39.6%
Opp TOV% 27.1% 29.0%
DRB% 82.4% 62.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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