Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -4000 MRMK +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -15.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -13.6 (-2.6) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -13.6 (-2.6) | 133.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -15.2 (-4.2) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -15.2 (-4.2) | 130.6 (+6.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | RUTG 48 – 35 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#106) | -4.9 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#107) | -0.21 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#111) | 0.09 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#174) | 0.551 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.04 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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