Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | SLU -2000 EIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +42 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -22.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -19.2 (+22.8) | 147.5 (-17.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -24.5 (+17.5) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#42) | -3.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#125) | -0.34 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#107) | -0.51 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#19) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 42.1% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.5% | 7.0% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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