Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | COLU +195 MRST -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -11.7 (-26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -5.5 (-20.5) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.5 (-19.5) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2022 | MRST 52 – 39 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#118) | 3.2 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#178) | -0.34 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#187) | -0.37 (#165) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 21.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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