Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -275 COLU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +13 | 91 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -12.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-46.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -9.4 (+3.6) | 137.1 (-46.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -10.1 (+2.9) | 137.9 (-46.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -8.1 (+4.9) | 137.9 (-46.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -8.4 (+4.6) | 136.7 (-45.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | MRST 82 – 67 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#271) | -10.8 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#264) | -2.22 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#266) | -3.62 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#284) | 0.369 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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