Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +18 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -20.7 (-38.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -12.6 (-30.6) | 150.8 (+25.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -13.6 (-31.6) | 151.5 (+24.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 12-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#32) | -0.8 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#13) | -0.34 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#15) | -0.48 (#202) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.1% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 48.2% | 8.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.7% | 11.7% |
Game Analysis
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