Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -42.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | CONN -10000 COPP +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +35 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -40.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -26.5 (+8.5) | 150.1 (-7.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -35.2 (-0.2) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#4) | -13.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#108) | -0.57 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#44) | -0.86 (#259) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 61.3% | 31.9% |
| 3PT% | 61.5% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 67.7% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 53.8% | 12.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 38.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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