I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–17 on winners spread MAE 8.9 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ Temple +3.9 141.7 68% 60–89 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina -11.9 153.5 16% 93–66 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International +0.3 152.7 48% 73–67 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty +9.9 136.9 82% 76–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Delaware -7.5 150.1 25% 80–83 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +8.7 153.0 83% 77–90 ✓
American University @ Boston University +2.5 141.5 62% 73–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +4.0 141.0 69% 62–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +5.1 143.5 74% 66–69 ✓
Bucknell @ Navy +14.3 136.3 89% 69–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +14.1 145.7 85% 65–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +7.7 124.9 77% 63–66 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -1.5 144.1 42% 77–81 ✗
Howard @ Norfolk State -3.7 144.7 31% 84–76 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +6.9 126.8 78% 57–56 ✗
Michigan @ Iowa -8.4 145.0 22% 71–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +18.7 141.9 91% 87–91 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State +0.9 142.2 61% 65–63 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +2.8 154.0 63% 70–59 ✗
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State +0.4 134.0 47% 65–60 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Missouri State -2.1 149.0 35% 74–87 ✗
Coppin State @ Morgan State +7.2 149.0 81% 66–70 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -10.3 147.5 16% 92–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +9.0 147.1 86% 77–85 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield +5.4 144.4 75% 60–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +8.6 159.7 80% 80–77 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State -0.0 150.2 48% 83–48 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UTEP -2.5 146.4 42% 71–78 ✗
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +4.3 141.7 66% 75–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +2.7 146.1 66% 68–77 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis -5.8 156.3 23% 96–89 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M +0.9 148.8 53% 88–85 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.5 158.9 25% 86–84 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +7.5 149.2 79% 67–80 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +15.4 130.9 89% 59–68 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +3.6 142.1 61% 66–68 ✓
UC Davis @ Long Beach State -2.7 150.0 42% 76–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +9.9 146.9 82% 85–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -2.3 150.6 32% 71–75 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +9.1 133.7 81% 48–87 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +5.0 143.5 72% 66–62 ✗
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +11.1 145.1 86% 74–93 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +8.0 151.6 80% 73–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +27.4 152.3 91% 59–81 ✓
Drake @ Belmont +12.1 152.7 88% 100–79 ✗
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T -0.5 149.1 50% 88–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +7.0 158.1 78% 81–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +3.8 146.9 66% 77–53 ✗
UIC @ Murray State -0.6 148.8 51% 92–79 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +6.3 141.9 77% 88–85 ✗
Stetson @ Austin Peay +10.0 149.4 85% 60–69 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +23.9 154.2 91% 55–94 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +1.6 141.6 55% 82–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -0.7 140.3 49% 81–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +6.1 139.3 75% 48–70 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -2.1 138.3 45% 77–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.