I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–20 on winners spread MAE 10.6 66 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi Valley State @ Florida State +27.7 155.3 91% 49–96 ✓
La Salle @ High Point +13.7 144.3 84% 72–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +14.6 151.9 86% 72–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Drexel +7.0 140.0 72% 67–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Jackson State -7.7 134.4 21% 82–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Western Kentucky -3.4 154.7 39% 82–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Tarleton State +14.4 148.0 88% 54–78 ✓
Wisconsin @ Villanova +4.3 147.1 63% 66–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Baylor +27.3 157.6 91% 56–113 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +25.4 143.5 90% 65–78 ✓
Belmont @ UC Irvine +0.9 141.2 44% 84–58 ✗
Abilene Christian @ BYU +29.1 141.2 91% 67–85 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Saint Mary's +13.6 147.6 85% 75–88 ✓
San Diego @ UC San Diego +20.4 150.0 90% 82–80 ✗
North Alabama @ Loyola Marymount +8.5 133.6 78% 57–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ UCLA +18.5 152.9 89% 87–108 ✓
Morgan State @ California +26.1 147.0 91% 50–97 ✓
Washington @ Seattle U +0.2 144.4 49% 66–70 ✓
Oakland @ Michigan State +18.0 150.2 88% 70–79 ✓
Montana @ Louisville +30.3 160.8 91% 54–94 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas State +20.1 162.3 89% 76–106 ✓
St. John's @ Kentucky +3.5 153.3 62% 66–78 ✓
Liberty @ Dayton +11.4 141.5 85% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Youngstown State +7.0 143.2 75% 65–74 ✓
Chicago State @ Indiana +35.5 150.7 91% 58–78 ✓
Le Moyne @ St. Bonaventure +13.9 147.6 88% 81–92 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Michigan -1.9 147.7 46% 88–71 ✓
Robert Morris @ Saint Francis -10.9 142.1 16% 79–70 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +11.6 134.1 83% 70–63 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +6.2 144.0 81% 58–100 ✓
Howard @ UNC Wilmington +14.7 136.4 87% 67–66 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina Central +0.1 142.2 42% 74–72 ✗
Lafayette @ Georgia Tech +12.1 141.5 86% 81–95 ✓
Iona @ Vermont +3.1 153.1 66% 83–78 ✗
Binghamton @ Mercyhurst +11.4 129.7 87% 61–82 ✓
Elon @ Virginia Tech +13.5 159.6 87% 81–82 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State -11.3 141.5 16% 86–77 ✓
Kent State @ Massachusetts +4.2 163.4 69% 69–59 ✗
Holy Cross @ Harvard +6.0 134.9 72% 53–81 ✓
Marshall @ Troy +1.9 157.3 60% 63–70 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +4.2 144.8 69% 76–74 ✗
Denver @ Northern Colorado +12.8 161.9 87% 86–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois +4.9 142.2 74% 73–74 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe +2.3 133.4 57% 76–62 ✗
North Carolina @ Ohio State +1.3 147.0 55% 71–70 ✗
South Alabama @ Texas State -1.6 139.6 45% 65–67 ✗
Memphis @ Mississippi State +3.8 151.2 65% 66–71 ✓
Jacksonville State @ East Tennessee State +16.8 134.9 87% 81–75 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Wyoming +10.0 144.5 83% 82–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Butler +4.7 154.8 68% 58–61 ✓
Northeastern @ Syracuse +12.7 138.9 86% 83–91 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio -5.4 147.7 32% 68–58 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +1.8 141.0 66% 86–62 ✗
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss +1.5 151.7 59% 93–86 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State +2.8 148.2 64% 91–82 ✗
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana -0.5 143.7 47% 64–60 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ UCF +19.9 159.5 89% 80–102 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Santa Clara +20.0 145.5 89% 80–78 ✗
Mercer @ Washington State +2.1 144.8 58% 78–84 ✓
Long Island University @ Florida International +4.8 153.1 72% 79–86 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia Southern +2.8 153.7 64% 92–96 ✓
Houston @ Arkansas +2.1 142.3 53% 94–85 ✗
Maryland @ Virginia +20.2 152.5 90% 72–80 ✓
The Citadel @ Richmond +23.0 144.0 90% 56–80 ✓
Bucknell @ Iowa +26.2 131.7 91% 39–94 ✓
Auburn @ Purdue +12.8 152.9 81% 60–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.