Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–20 on winners spread MAE 8.2 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -7.6 156.6 24% 81–88 ✗
Michigan @ Minnesota -13.3 143.0 11% 81–84 ✗
High Point @ Longwood -3.0 151.2 39% 80–82 ✗
Binghamton @ Vermont +6.8 125.0 73% 64–72 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +6.0 145.2 71% 64–67 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +5.2 141.5 68% 88–87 ✗
App State @ Old Dominion -6.5 133.2 28% 62–43 ✓
Charleston @ Campbell -3.2 149.8 39% 67–61 ✓
Elon @ Drexel +0.5 130.0 52% 65–54 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton +1.3 152.5 55% 67–64 ✗
Monmouth @ North Carolina A&T +1.8 153.2 56% 72–63 ✗
Hofstra @ Towson +3.0 121.8 61% 60–65 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +6.8 141.8 73% 72–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +12.9 167.2 88% 80–92 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -6.9 151.9 26% 95–60 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville +0.7 144.6 53% 60–64 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.8 131.2 60% 76–81 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +2.5 119.0 59% 56–51 ✗
Niagara @ Fairfield +1.4 142.3 55% 66–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider -4.3 136.3 35% 60–66 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Siena +3.5 146.6 62% 75–93 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +11.5 144.4 85% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State +3.5 166.3 63% 69–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +2.7 143.8 60% 61–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Florida International -2.1 140.3 42% 59–52 ✓
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +7.1 136.0 74% 47–51 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona +10.4 131.3 83% 53–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +11.9 159.5 86% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +20.9 149.6 97% 63–83 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -1.6 137.3 44% 90–97 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -0.3 146.8 49% 85–83 ✓
California Baptist @ Tarleton State -5.4 133.3 31% 57–67 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +13.6 158.5 89% 73–109 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +11.8 181.3 86% 82–92 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +12.0 142.6 86% 64–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State -0.2 140.8 49% 87–80 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech +3.1 143.1 61% 77–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +2.6 140.1 59% 73–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +9.4 138.4 80% 63–68 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -3.7 141.3 37% 74–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska +9.8 149.3 81% 85–82 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State +2.7 138.1 60% 67–70 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +2.8 149.3 60% 63–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +12.0 143.6 86% 58–88 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +10.5 134.5 83% 72–70 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal Poly +8.2 159.9 77% 65–54 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +26.3 132.3 99% 62–82 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +7.3 139.3 75% 63–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -14.3 135.0 10% 80–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -4.6 148.4 34% 54–57 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +2.4 151.0 58% 81–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -4.8 145.5 33% 80–63 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -13.3 154.0 11% 65–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +10.7 139.7 83% 62–82 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -5.6 152.9 31% 89–97 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +1.4 152.3 55% 83–60 ✗
Ohio @ Akron +6.0 164.9 71% 80–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.