He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–12 on winners spread MAE 9.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Longwood @ High Point +9.0 150.4 82% 72–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +4.1 139.0 64% 74–79 ✓
Wagner @ Le Moyne +0.6 131.7 55% 68–72 ✓
Chicago State @ Fairleigh Dickinson +6.3 145.1 81% 49–91 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut +10.4 135.1 83% 63–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ Vermont +10.8 132.2 87% 59–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +3.9 142.8 66% 46–58 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia State +3.4 148.4 64% 75–97 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia Southern -3.8 144.2 36% 77–72 ✓
App State @ Coastal Carolina -10.0 127.6 17% 64–46 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +5.8 148.6 74% 66–86 ✓
Campbell @ Northeastern +1.0 136.9 53% 58–67 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +10.1 143.8 84% 60–59 ✗
Delaware @ Towson +7.7 141.0 80% 70–75 ✓
Drexel @ Hampton -1.5 135.5 56% 58–63 ✗
Hofstra @ William & Mary +0.7 142.7 59% 60–61 ✓
North Florida @ North Alabama +9.3 162.1 85% 70–83 ✓
West Georgia @ Eastern Kentucky +11.5 151.1 85% 73–95 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -6.5 140.8 24% 72–60 ✓
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas -8.1 139.6 19% 77–62 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech +5.4 142.6 70% 69–47 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston -1.0 142.4 53% 61–66 ✗
Marshall @ South Alabama +3.9 133.9 68% 82–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay -2.1 140.7 50% 60–73 ✗
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -3.1 134.7 40% 59–75 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -11.3 134.7 17% 64–60 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota +1.2 154.3 50% 72–79 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +10.2 151.3 83% 85–98 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota +6.1 151.1 65% 68–64 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock +7.6 135.2 81% 75–79 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +17.8 149.1 90% 60–93 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska -1.3 147.5 46% 83–75 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +3.2 139.4 60% 74–76 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois +0.2 135.0 44% 62–87 ✓
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +4.5 138.8 62% 76–71 ✗
Morehead State @ Lindenwood -1.0 133.0 49% 60–73 ✗
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -4.2 143.1 25% 66–49 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -8.4 150.4 22% 80–65 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +2.6 143.6 69% 68–81 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +7.7 140.3 80% 66–74 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis -0.4 135.9 50% 74–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +11.7 150.6 85% 88–94 ✓
Liberty @ New Mexico State -4.0 132.7 38% 64–54 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +7.9 140.2 78% 63–77 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -11.0 140.2 15% 73–54 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -9.2 145.8 18% 77–61 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton -2.2 156.2 44% 98–83 ✓
San Diego @ Pepperdine +6.5 149.9 78% 81–88 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +10.1 138.1 85% 83–58 ✗
Oregon State @ Portland -13.9 147.0 18% 72–84 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +10.1 141.4 85% 60–62 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +12.2 150.2 86% 77–88 ✓
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +8.7 136.9 84% 60–62 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth +1.5 155.4 62% 56–78 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara -0.4 135.2 47% 84–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.