Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +800 ORST -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -16.9 (+28.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -13.9 (+25.9) | 147.0 (+9.0) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -12.6 (+24.6) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -13.7 (+25.7) | 148.9 (+7.1) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -14.5 (+26.5) | 145.7 (+10.3) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PORT 82 – 76 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ORST 89 – 79 PORT |
| Dec 11, 2020 | PORT 87 – 86 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#330) | 9.1 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#300) | 1.39 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#298) | 1.88 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#300) | 0.537 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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