Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -4000 PORT +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +10 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -26.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -18.0 (-8.0) | 143.9 (+24.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -19.3 (-9.3) | 142.6 (+25.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -21.5 (-11.5) | 141.3 (+26.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -22.0 (-12.0) | 141.5 (+26.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PORT 82 – 76 ORST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PORT 84 – 72 ORST |
| Dec 11, 2020 | PORT 87 – 86 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#54) | -11.5 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#59) | -1.81 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#59) | -2.60 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#81) | 0.420 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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