I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–11 on winners spread MAE 8.3 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ South Carolina -4.8 137.5 31% 72–68 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -9.2 158.3 19% 92–85 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +6.2 135.7 76% 72–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +8.3 154.0 81% 80–74 ✗
Louisville @ NC State -4.5 143.6 33% 91–66 ✓
Florida State @ Wake Forest +4.6 141.0 73% 72–70 ✗
Stanford @ Georgia Tech -0.5 145.8 48% 52–60 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island -0.6 136.7 50% 64–68 ✗
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +11.9 147.4 86% 63–75 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -5.7 145.0 27% 93–76 ✓
Davidson @ Massachusetts +2.1 143.6 58% 77–68 ✗
VCU @ George Washington -5.7 138.6 29% 80–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +9.7 145.9 83% 64–78 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland +1.3 145.3 52% 64–60 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +2.3 138.7 59% 60–63 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell +3.4 136.6 70% 60–76 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +3.4 138.0 62% 68–59 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +11.6 134.9 85% 54–80 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +7.6 152.2 78% 72–96 ✓
Wofford @ The Citadel -12.4 135.9 14% 74–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern +0.6 141.2 58% 70–71 ✓
UTSA @ Wichita State +5.9 149.2 74% 64–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +6.6 154.0 71% 82–68 ✗
Evansville @ Missouri State +4.9 132.9 65% 54–71 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -4.3 155.8 35% 86–101 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +0.8 145.1 52% 91–82 ✗
Washington @ Ohio State +11.6 147.1 84% 69–93 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +13.2 146.8 86% 67–101 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana -9.4 133.1 20% 74–56 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas Tech +13.5 142.5 88% 106–111 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -4.3 138.4 32% 97–94 ✓
Drake @ Illinois State -3.8 127.3 24% 84–77 ✓
California @ Duke +20.2 142.8 90% 57–78 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +6.2 148.9 80% 58–70 ✓
Oklahoma @ Missouri +5.9 148.2 79% 58–82 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico +15.5 141.2 89% 67–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook -0.2 143.9 46% 79–69 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington +0.4 143.3 54% 79–82 ✓
NJIT @ Bryant +14.9 150.3 88% 66–88 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +2.2 147.0 59% 77–81 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +5.0 149.4 64% 90–88 ✗
Queens University @ Bellarmine -8.8 149.2 24% 92–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.