Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NE -225 CAM +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NE -1.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -1.0 (+8.0) | 136.9 (-11.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.9 (+8.1) | 138.0 (-13.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.4 (+9.4) | 139.9 (-14.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.4 (+9.4) | 138.4 (-13.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | CAM 97 – 82 NE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NE 86 – 76 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#184) | -0.57 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#188) | -0.37 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#169) | 0.462 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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