Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–14 on winners spread MAE 9.2 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ West Virginia -4.2 142.3 52% 53–56 ✗
North Florida @ Florida +24.1 139.8 91% 55–85 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +8.1 134.4 80% 59–64 ✓
Alabama A&M @ North Alabama +9.7 132.3 83% 45–56 ✓
Samford @ Alabama State -1.9 155.2 29% 74–64 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina +3.1 143.7 72% 69–74 ✓
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb +0.2 136.9 46% 78–70 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Boston University +5.8 131.8 69% 62–72 ✓
Saint Francis @ American University -7.1 149.4 25% 73–83 ✗
Lafayette @ Delaware +10.2 142.5 81% 58–68 ✓
Wagner @ Penn State -0.8 127.4 46% 54–74 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ St. Bonaventure +13.3 136.9 86% 71–84 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Saint Joseph's +4.2 144.6 74% 71–78 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -4.1 147.3 46% 62–79 ✗
Lipscomb @ Miami +8.1 149.9 82% 59–76 ✓
Jacksonville State @ VCU +8.7 127.9 76% 52–66 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Dartmouth +6.7 143.2 71% 72–69 ✗
Holy Cross @ Fairfield +15.4 139.2 90% 59–74 ✓
Marist @ Binghamton -0.0 140.6 46% 64–51 ✓
Canisius @ Northern Kentucky +3.9 138.9 64% 62–75 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Peter's +9.0 128.4 77% 71–60 ✗
Niagara @ Eastern Michigan -1.2 140.3 45% 58–60 ✗
Central Michigan @ Youngstown State +14.8 145.0 89% 77–84 ✓
Missouri State @ Little Rock -8.7 144.7 22% 81–55 ✓
Evansville @ Southeast Missouri State -0.2 140.9 53% 73–75 ✗
New Hampshire @ Bryant -3.6 137.2 38% 59–76 ✗
Arkansas State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -3.6 140.8 27% 84–73 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Kentucky +0.4 155.8 51% 77–67 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ SIU Edwardsville +3.6 140.9 62% 59–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Colorado +9.9 147.6 84% 57–60 ✓
Utah @ TCU -2.3 133.5 45% 62–76 ✗
McNeese @ Louisiana +8.6 144.3 84% 68–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.9 152.5 81% 69–75 ✓
Dayton @ SMU +2.8 138.2 58% 69–77 ✓
UMBC @ Georgetown +1.2 153.1 59% 71–100 ✓
Michigan State @ Minnesota -1.3 137.7 48% 75–67 ✓
Towson @ Ohio State +13.1 138.4 86% 74–85 ✓
Utah State @ BYU +8.7 143.3 77% 71–82 ✓
Air Force @ Montana +4.4 126.1 71% 48–66 ✓
Marquette @ Kansas State +3.9 142.9 63% 64–63 ✗
South Dakota State @ Idaho -10.6 164.3 22% 84–98 ✗
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah +1.6 148.0 60% 56–60 ✓
Cornell @ Virginia Tech +12.1 147.0 83% 60–93 ✓
Drake @ Omaha -13.5 137.1 13% 78–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Arizona +13.2 151.0 85% 65–94 ✓
Weber State @ Washington State +8.4 140.8 79% 60–94 ✓
Seattle U @ UNLV +2.8 140.7 53% 56–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego State +8.9 129.2 80% 56–66 ✓
Idaho State @ California +15.3 125.1 87% 46–72 ✓
Fresno State @ San Francisco +10.1 132.4 83% 63–71 ✓
Texas @ Seton Hall +4.5 132.8 59% 60–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ NC State +14.6 144.1 87% 48–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.