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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–8 on winners spread MAE 9.6 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern @ Kentucky +23.5 145.6 91% 64–76 ✓
Texas Tech @ Tennessee +2.2 138.0 57% 57–52 ✗
Bucknell @ Princeton +12.7 154.5 88% 69–82 ✓
Furman @ Winthrop +0.8 157.3 51% 80–85 ✓
Old Dominion @ William & Mary -5.2 128.4 22% 74–59 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ East Carolina +8.9 141.6 78% 71–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Northeastern +2.0 143.5 64% 76–82 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ La Salle +6.1 142.1 76% 55–81 ✓
Navy @ George Mason -0.2 127.7 50% 65–71 ✗
Brown @ Merrimack -1.0 123.3 38% 76–56 ✓
UAlbany @ Yale +10.6 137.8 85% 52–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Georgia +3.8 126.4 74% 58–69 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida A&M -2.0 139.9 27% 69–55 ✓
Oakland @ Bowling Green -3.7 148.1 47% 72–73 ✗
Bradley @ Toledo +9.8 143.5 80% 65–67 ✓
Michigan @ Nebraska -3.6 147.0 31% 102–67 ✓
UTEP @ Kansas +19.5 145.3 89% 52–78 ✓
South Dakota @ Northern Colorado +8.5 142.1 79% 69–74 ✓
Charleston @ Tulane +2.6 153.4 51% 86–72 ✗
Temple @ Vanderbilt +9.3 132.0 73% 72–68 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Missouri +17.2 129.5 89% 44–72 ✓
Belmont @ Saint Louis +3.3 150.0 64% 64–59 ✗
Duquesne @ DePaul +13.5 152.1 85% 67–87 ✓
Charlotte @ Arkansas +18.7 146.4 89% 66–86 ✓
Butler @ Oklahoma +12.0 129.7 82% 66–62 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Tulsa +4.5 136.9 66% 60–55 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Santa Clara +14.9 138.8 89% 77–88 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana State +8.7 139.3 84% 49–68 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ USC +17.6 157.6 89% 68–80 ✓
Boise State @ Cal State Northridge -7.9 123.5 17% 74–48 ✓
North Dakota @ California Baptist +11.0 139.4 85% 71–89 ✓
Villanova @ Syracuse -12.3 146.8 16% 67–53 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNC Asheville -7.4 133.9 25% 78–73 ✓
Coppin State @ George Washington +2.6 145.0 60% 62–75 ✓
Ball State @ Xavier +16.3 151.4 88% 50–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.