Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -20.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.9 (-3.9) | 138.8 (+26.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -16.7 (-5.7) | 140.0 (+25.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -17.1 (-6.1) | 140.4 (+24.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -18.8 (-7.8) | 139.7 (+25.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#61) | -8.3 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#125) | -1.00 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#109) | -1.75 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#88) | 0.458 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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