Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +18 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -17.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -11.0 (+7.0) | 139.4 (+20.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -12.7 (+5.3) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -13.9 (+4.1) | 141.5 (+18.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -13.7 (+4.3) | 139.8 (+20.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-5 | 4-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#218) | -14.6 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#72) | -2.12 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#80) | -4.07 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#102) | 0.391 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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