Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UK -23.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -23.5 (-11.5) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -20.6 (-8.6) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -22.1 (-10.1) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -24.1 (-12.1) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#23) | -6.1 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#66) | -0.74 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#43) | -1.32 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.444 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 46.6 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 47.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.