Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -16.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.6 (+8.4) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -12.1 (+6.9) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.1 (+6.9) | 139.4 (-16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.8 (+7.2) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | YALE 93 – 82 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#155) | -10.6 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#206) | -2.84 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#175) | -3.95 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#191) | 0.363 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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