Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -2400 UALB +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +11 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -22.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -17.8 (-6.8) | 140.6 (+34.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -16.0 (-5.0) | 145.0 (+30.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -19.7 (-8.7) | 143.3 (+31.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -19.1 (-8.1) | 141.2 (+33.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | YALE 71 – 52 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#57) | -11.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#22) | -3.02 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#39) | -4.26 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#26) | 0.402 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 44.8% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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