Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +26 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -5.8 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.6 (-22.4) | 125.3 (-3.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -7.9 (-18.1) | 123.5 (-1.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.7 (-23.3) | 124.3 (-2.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.8 (-22.2) | 125.9 (-3.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | BOIS 55 – 46 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#280) | 4.3 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#207) | 0.63 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#191) | 1.12 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#201) | 0.556 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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