Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -17.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -12.7 (+0.3) | 154.5 (-3.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -12.2 (+0.8) | 156.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -13.2 (-0.2) | 156.9 (-5.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -14.1 (-1.1) | 158.3 (-7.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 63 BUCK |
| Nov 30, 2023 | PRIN 85 – 71 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#122) | -9.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#89) | -2.23 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#100) | -2.71 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#79) | 0.343 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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