Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -215 BUCK +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -1.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.1 (+14.1) | 144.9 (-8.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -6.1 (+16.1) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -8.5 (+18.5) | 143.3 (-7.3) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | PRIN 85 – 71 BUCK |
| Dec 8, 2021 | PRIN 82 – 69 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#323) | 5.4 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#204) | 1.87 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#215) | 2.64 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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