Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +35 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -2.9 (-32.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -3.6 (-31.4) | 147.0 (+22.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -1.0 (-34.0) | 142.7 (+26.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.2 (-32.8) | 143.6 (+25.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -3.1 (-31.9) | 144.0 (+25.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MICH 75 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MICH 49 – 46 NEB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 MICH |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEB 79 – 59 MICH |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MICH 93 – 72 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-12 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#192) | 7.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#220) | 1.15 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#183) | 2.12 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#251) | 0.555 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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