Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NE -3.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -3.0 (+3.0) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.5 (+3.5) | 143.3 (+14.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -3.4 (+2.6) | 143.7 (+14.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -2.0 (+4.0) | 143.5 (+14.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | MASS 77 – 72 NE |
| Dec 13, 2020 | NE 78 – 75 MASS |
| Dec 11, 2020 | MASS 94 – 79 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#167) | 1.9 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#147) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#166) | 0.65 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#137) | 0.580 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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