Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -175 NE +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NE -2.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.8 (+5.8) | 148.8 (+0.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.0 (+7.0) | 147.2 (+1.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -2.1 (+7.1) | 146.5 (+2.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.5 (+3.5) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | NE 82 – 76 MASS |
| Dec 13, 2020 | NE 78 – 75 MASS |
| Dec 11, 2020 | MASS 94 – 79 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#250) | 1.7 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#293) | 0.51 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#272) | 0.56 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#296) | 0.500 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 24.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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