Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | NE +175 MASS -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NE -0.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.8 (+3.8) | 155.9 (-2.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.4 (+2.6) | 156.3 (-3.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | MASS 77 – 72 NE |
| Dec 8, 2021 | NE 82 – 76 MASS |
| Dec 11, 2020 | MASS 94 – 79 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Home | 5-1 | 4-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#198) | 3.0 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#206) | 0.67 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#200) | 0.99 (#114) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 11.6% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 44.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 44.9% |
Game Analysis
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