Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -650 FDU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -7.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -6.8 (+19.2) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -5.5 (+20.5) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -5.6 (+20.4) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -6.1 (+19.9) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | LAS 77 – 72 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#283) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#300) | -2.26 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#318) | -3.44 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#310) | 0.418 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.